Capital Review

In a close election, everything matters. Just ask Hillary Clinton about taking Wisconsin and Michigan for granted in 2016.

This election looks like another close one because some voters will enthusiastically vote for Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, but many others will again be voting against the candidate they dislike most.

Based on recent polling, Trump has a base support of about 42 percent. He can likely count on those voters no matter what. Biden’s lowest numbers were similar, so Harris probably starts in the same or slightly better position depending on how long her media honeymoon lasts....